Good evening everyone, the first significant snowfall of the 2009 – 2010 winter season is upon us in the next 48 hours. Winter Storm watches have been posted into Central New Jersey by the National Weather Service and I expect the watch to cover the remainder of the state on Friday. Our current thinking here at the Harrison Weather Center is for snow to develop by saturday night and continue into sunday morning with 3 to 6 inches of snowfall appears likely at this time. the storm will pull east of the region by Sunday afternoon. Cold temperatures will remain in place for the next 7 to 10 days and there is another chance of more snow by Christmas eve into Christmas night as a more significant storm takes aim at the region. stay tuned.
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Good evening folks there has been some chatter about on a possible weekend snowstorm anyway from a blizzard to the weather channel with partly cloudy skies to the one that says clouds will collect ?? Anyway the forecast models honking its horn has been out to sea and having its problems for most of the fall I like to see the treads overnight before getting to excited but right now I favor snow developing on Sunday into Sunday night still in questions will be snowfall amounts but if we take in 18Z model runs 3 to 6 inches of snow would be a starting point, more on this on Thursday sleep tight kids going to be a wild winter ride the next 7 to 10 nights and your dreams of a white Christmas just may come true !!
Hello folks have only a few seconds but heres my thinking over the next 7 to 10 days, weather Pattern remains active and those of us along the coast that did not see snow yet our time of coming soon and the timing perfect for Christams week and I said in September watch out for snow on Christmas week so those who keep track of such things if verified it won’t be a bad call, there be chances of snow on sunday night and monday and come wednesday and Christmas day as cold air is expected to hold in place.
I vote Saturday as the best looking day of the weekend clouds and rain is expected on Sunday especially later in the day and at night. for Saturday sunny skies are expected with temperatures back in the 4os and not as windy as the last two days. changeable weather for the upcoming week and the return to cold by the end of the week as well. Enjoy !!
Those who log into this site expecting an updated blog I want to say that I am sorry. Life is very hectic around here each and every day and it is almost impossible to keep the site updated. I am going to do my best to at least update the blog every day so lets see how it goes.
Very cold not last night I am sure some of the media clowns where saying bitter cold sorry folks bitter cold is when temperatures are in the single number not 20. Only weather concern I have is for late Sunday into Monday some forecasters are calling for snow we don’t see it that way I think it is going to be a more of a rain producer and just maybe a little snow in the front end if everything worked out right. milder temperatures by early next week by December standards.
Hello everyone forecast is going as planned, rain today and snow tonight, watching traveling later especialy overnight anything untreated may freeze as temperatures fall into the lower 30s. Everything is gone tomorrow as the sun returns and temperatures in the 50s.
As of this writing around 9:30 on Saturday morning just getting some reports of light rain in the area with temperatures in the mesonet all near or just above 40 degrees, temps will continue to fall for the rest of the day.
We will post updated blogs as needed today.
I have to chuckle watching the weather / news media go nuts for the first snow event. I always comment to my friends my clients can take hearing the tornado or hurricane threat but don’t mention a snow flurrie they go nuts !!
Lets tackle the sensible short term weather first really nothing to talk about sunny and pleasant for December with temperatures in the 50s today and a mild night.
Northerly winds will bring colder air down into the region on Saturday at the same time a new storm develops and approaches from the south. its warm enough to bring rain into the area on Saturday afternoon into Saturday evening but look for the rain to mix and change and end as snow Saturday night into Sunday morning.
its is going to be mighty warm at the surface so my current thinking is for less then two inches of snow mainly on non paved surfaces. I not going to try to be cute with the 1 to 2 inch accumulation forecast because we may not make an inch if the storm is further out to sea as suggested by my favorite forecast model which to be playing catch up over the last 3 runs. Those of you going out and about on overnight Saturday and Sunday on elevated paved surfaces may ice up overnight.
Sunday drier weather comes in with sunshine and temperatures in the lower 40s melting most if not all the newly fallen snow on the non paved surfaces.
Well update the BLOG as needed. Have a nice weekend !!
Hello folks a good Wednesday to you all on this hump day as they the people call it will feature the change in the weather to stormy with any sun saying bye bye to clouds and rainfall and wind tonight and Thursday morning, Thunderstorms are possible as well overnight, winds will be gusty especially overnight with gust between 35 to 45 mph, rainfall amounts between 1 to 2 inches will be good enough to put down some urban flooding in low lying and poor drainage areas, everything moves out stage right by Thursday afternoon. Could get down right warm overnight with temperatures in the upper 50s to lower 60s.
A word on the weekend and possible snow….. I know my ears perked up to. I am not sold on a snow storm for the I95 corridor to me it looks like a fish storm which means out to sea, the GFS is further offshore this run but I am not going to hang my hat on one single run but if the trend is your friend the snow lovers will be disappointed and yes I am one of them but all these years you learn to forecast with your heart and not with your head doesn’t do the clients much good. anyway will be monitoring tonight and those of you who would like to reports any skywarn reports you may call us at 485-7669 overnight we love to hear from you, looking for road flooding and wind damage reports. Have a wonderful day everyone !!
We are back since winter is just around the bend, i can’t say this is back by popular demand I have no idea how many people read this everyday, anyway look for a sunny day on Tuesday then it turns rather stormy for later Wednesday and Thursday and our first snow flakes may fall this weekend, winds will be very strong Wednesday Night into Thursday and wind alerts are likely. Check back with us tomorrow for further details on both systems.
After 50 to 60 mph winds and winds up to hurricane force over the Chesapeake bay our coastal storm will slowly ease on Saturday and certainly into Sunday. Here in Northern NJ it was some wind and rain and tidal flooding again on Kearny NJ but the Jersey Shore received the brunt of the storm with moderate to major tidal flooding and severe beach erosion.